2017 Box Office Prediction Game

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knarf
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2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#1 Post by knarf » 02 Jan 2017, 09:29

This is a prediction and pick'em game with winner determined in early February, 2018 by the actual US Domestic Box Office Gross totals as determined by boxofficemojo.com

To play, PM your entry to me by 1/26/17 11:59pm eastern time.

Step 1 - Pick one from each matchup in the 11 lines below (notice you could be picking two movies in the 10th and 11th matchups):

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 vs. Justice League
Beauty and the Beast vs. Despicable Me 3
War for the Planet of the Apes vs. Kong: Skull Island
It vs. The Dark Tower
Wonder Woman vs. Thor: Ragnarok
Coco vs. Cars 3
Alien: Covenant vs. Blade Runner 2049
Power Rangers vs. The Mummy
Transformers: The Last Knight vs. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious vs. the combined total of Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle
Spider-Man: Homecoming vs. the combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie

Step 2 - Pick 5 more 2017 releases (release date 1/27/17 to 12/29/17) that are NOT named in Steps 1 or 3

Step 3 - Tiebreaker: Domestic Box Office Gross of Star Wars: Episode VIII

We'll use boxofficemojo.com's Domestic Box Office Total for each movie at the end of January 2018, so we count the box office receipts in January 2018 until boxofficemojo.com puts up the receipts for the week that includes January 25, 2018 in it.

Winners:
Overall Winner - Person with highest total box office of their 16 movies - Scruluce
Pick'Em Champ - Person with most number of top choices for Step 1 - Scruluce
Scout - Person with highest total box office of their 5 Step 2 movies - redamin
Marksman - Person whose Step 3 is closest to the actual gross - Ridilon

Ties in the first 3 categories will be broken by the tiebreaker (Step 3)

Remember, your Step 2 entries can't use any movie listed above. I'll post mine after the deadline, but before I open any PM's.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#2 Post by figjam » 05 Jan 2017, 07:44

sent

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#3 Post by Scruluce » 05 Jan 2017, 13:45

sent

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#4 Post by knarf » 05 Jan 2017, 15:34

I have entries for:

knarf
Scruluce
justdrewit
figjam
Ridilon
redamin
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#5 Post by Scruluce » 06 Jan 2017, 13:05

my buddy gave me his guesses, but he doesn't have an account with us. mind if he plays?

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#6 Post by knarf » 06 Jan 2017, 14:35

Scruluce wrote:my buddy gave me his guesses, but he doesn't have an account with us. mind if he plays?
Sure, send them to me.

Also, if he wants an account, I can rename one of the ones that were never used and give it to him.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#7 Post by Scruluce » 06 Jan 2017, 15:30

knarf wrote:
Scruluce wrote:my buddy gave me his guesses, but he doesn't have an account with us. mind if he plays?
Sure, send them to me.

Also, if he wants an account, I can rename one of the ones that were never used and give it to him.
He says yes to account. nomega69. PM me the temp password. I will PM you his picks.

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#8 Post by knarf » 16 Jan 2017, 21:33

About 10 days left to turn in an entry.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#9 Post by knarf » 26 Jan 2017, 19:02

2 hours to go!
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#10 Post by knarf » 26 Jan 2017, 21:04

Ok, here's mine. About to put all the others together.

Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Beauty and the Beast
War for the Planet of the Apes
It
Thor: Ragnarok
Cars 3
Alien: Covenant
Power Rangers
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious
Spider-Man: Homecoming

Step 2
Dunkirk
Ghost in the Shell
Pitch Perfect 3
A Bad Moms Christmas
Captain Underpants

Step 3
Star Wars: Episode VIII
$888,888,888
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#11 Post by knarf » 26 Jan 2017, 21:52

knarf
Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Beauty and the Beast
War for the Planet of the Apes
It
Thor: Ragnarok
Cars 3
Alien: Covenant
Power Rangers
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Step 2
Dunkirk
Ghost in the Shell
Pitch Perfect 3
A Bad Moms Christmas
Captain Underpants
Step 3
$888,888,888

redamin
Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Beauty and the Beast
War for the Planet of the Apes
The Dark Tower
Wonder Woman
Cars 3
Alien: Covenant
The Mummy
Transformers: The Last Knight
The Fate of the Furious
The combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie
Step 2
Dunkirk
Jumanji World
50 Shades Darker
Life
The Boss Baby
Step 3
$884,644,162

Ridilon
Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Beauty and the Beast
Kong: Skull Island
The Dark Tower
Wonder Woman
Coco
Alien: Covenant
Power Rangers
Transformers: The Last Knight
The Fate of the Furious
The combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie
Step 2
World War Z 2
Dunkirk
Jumanji
Pitch Perfect 3
Ghost in the Shell
Step 3
$688,953,674

figjam
Step 1
Justice League
Beauty and the Beast
War for the Planet of the Apes
It
Wonder Woman
Cars 3
Blade Runner 2049
The Mummy
Transformers: The Last Knight
The combined total of Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle
The combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie
Step 2
Resident Evil: The Final Chapter
Friday the 13th
Ghost in the Shell
John Wick: Chapter 2
Amityville: The Awakening
Step 3
$900,000,000

justdrewit
Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Despicable Me 3
War for the Planet of the Apes
The Dark Tower
Thor: Ragnarok
Coco
Blade Runner 2049
The Mummy
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious
The combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie
Step 2
Dunkirk
World War Z 2
Fifty Shades Darker
Ghost in the Shell
Jumanji
Step 3
$775,000,000

Scruluce
Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Beauty and the Beast
Kong: Skull Island
It
Wonder Woman
Coco
Blade Runner 2049
Power Rangers
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Step 2
Ghost in the Shell
Dunkirk
Pitch Perfect 3
Jumanji
Split
Step 3
$925,000,000

nomega69
Step 1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Beauty and the Beast
War for the Planet of the Apes
It
Thor: Ragnarok
Cars 3
Blade Runner 2049
Power Rangers
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
The Fate of the Furious
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Step 2
Rings
Baywatch
Friday the 13th
Jumanji
The Emoji Movie
Step 3
$950,000,001
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#12 Post by knarf » 26 Jan 2017, 22:20

Step 1 - Number of picks for each below. Everything had at least one person choose it this year.

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 6 vs. Justice League - 1

Beauty and the Beast - 6 vs. Despicable Me 3 - 1

War for the Planet of the Apes - 5 vs. Kong: Skull Island - 2

It - 4 vs. The Dark Tower - 3

Wonder Woman - 4 vs. Thor: Ragnarok - 3

Coco - 3 vs. Cars 3 - 4

Alien: Covenant - 3 vs. Blade Runner 2049 - 4

Power Rangers - 4 vs. The Mummy - 3

Transformers: The Last Knight - 3 vs. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - 4

The Fate of the Furious - 6 vs. the combined total of Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle - 1

Spider-Man: Homecoming - 3 vs. the combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie - 4
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#13 Post by knarf » 27 Jan 2017, 15:45

Step 2 Movie Picks
Dunkirk - 5
Ghost in the Shell - 5
Jumanji - 5
Pitch Perfect 3 - 3
50 Shades Darker - 2
Friday the 13th - 2
World War Z 2 - 2
Amityville: The Awakening - 1
A Bad Moms Christmas - 1
Baywatch - 1
The Boss Baby - 1
Captain Underpants - 1
The Emoji Movie - 1
John Wick 2 - 1
Life - 1
Resident Evil: The Final Chapter - 1
Rings - 1
Split - 1
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#14 Post by knarf » 27 Jan 2017, 16:02

Step 3 Guesses and Winning Range
                Guess        Lower Limit       Upper Limit	    Range
Ridilon     $688,953,674             $0.00   $731,976,837.00   $731,976,837.00
justdrewit  $775,000,000   $731,976,837.00   $829,822,081.00    $97,845,244.00
redamin     $884,644,162   $829,822,081.00   $886,766,525.00    $56,944,444.00
knarf       $888,888,888   $886,766,525.00   $894,444,444.00     $7,677,919.00
figjam      $900,000,000   $894,444,444.00   $912,500,000.00    $18,055,556.00
Scruluce    $925,000,000   $912,500,000.00   $937,500,000.50    $25,000,000.50
nomega69    $950,000,001   $937,500,000.50     Ba-zillion          Infinite
I've got the narrowest window to win this one, less than $8 million.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#15 Post by knarf » 06 Feb 2017, 18:46

Step 2 news - World War Z 2 has been pushed back past our last weekend, which hurts justdrewit and Ridilon.

Friday the 13th has been pushed back too, but no new date has been announced. This could hurt figjam and nomega69. January seems like a possibility, but the next Friday the 13th date isn't until April 2018.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#16 Post by Ridilon » 09 Mar 2017, 08:24

knarf wrote:Step 3 Guesses and Winning Range
                Guess        Lower Limit       Upper Limit	    Range
Ridilon     $688,953,674             $0.00   $731,976,837.00   $731,976,837.00
justdrewit  $775,000,000   $731,976,837.00   $829,822,081.00    $97,845,244.00
redamin     $884,644,162   $829,822,081.00   $886,766,525.00    $56,944,444.00
knarf       $888,888,888   $886,766,525.00   $894,444,444.00     $7,677,919.00
figjam      $900,000,000   $894,444,444.00   $912,500,000.00    $18,055,556.00
Scruluce    $925,000,000   $912,500,000.00   $937,500,000.50    $25,000,000.50
nomega69    $950,000,001   $937,500,000.50     Ba-zillion          Infinite
I've got the narrowest window to win this one, less than $8 million.
I bid $1 Bob
Jesus H. bald-headed Christ.

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#17 Post by knarf » 18 Jun 2017, 07:13

Step 1 Update
The Fate of the Furious vs. the combined total of Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle

The Fate of the Furious is struggling to catch up to Logan by itself, so Kingsman should put this one away. The only one of us to pick the combination was figjam.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#18 Post by knarf » 18 Jun 2017, 07:36

Also, the $172M from The Boss Baby is giving redamin a huge lead for the Scout and Overall Winner totals.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#19 Post by figjam » 20 Jun 2017, 10:45

knarf wrote:Step 1 Update
The Fate of the Furious vs. the combined total of Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle

The Fate of the Furious is struggling to catch up to Logan by itself, so Kingsman should put this one away. The only one of us to pick the combination was figjam.
:D

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#20 Post by knarf » 03 Sep 2017, 20:24

Step 1 Update

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($389M) vs. Justice League (not out yet)

Beauty and the Beast ($504M) should easily hold off Despicable Me 3 ($257M)

War for the Planet of the Apes ($144M) probably won't catch Kong: Skull Island ($168M)

It (not out yet) is expected to beat The Dark Tower ($47M)

Wonder Woman ($408M) vs. Thor: Ragnarok (not out yet)

Coco (not out yet) vs. Cars 3 ($150M)

Alien: Covenant ($74M) vs. Blade Runner 2049 (not out yet)

Power Rangers ($85M) beat The Mummy ($80M)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales ($172M) has a big lead over Transformers: The Last Knight ($130M) and they're both about done.

The Fate of the Furious ($225M) has already lost to Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle ($226M / not out yet). Kingsman is all bonus money for figjam.

Spider-Man: Homecoming ($324M) vs. the combined total of The Lego Batman Movie ($175M) and The Lego Ninjago Movie (not out yet)
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#21 Post by figjam » 07 Sep 2017, 09:58

If Justice League can beat Guardians, that will really help me. Two where I was on an island by myself coming through would be huge.

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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#22 Post by Scruluce » 08 Sep 2017, 11:19

Step 2 Totals:

$180,900,175* – Dunkirk - 5
$40,563,557 – Ghost in the Shell - 5
coming soon – Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle - 5
coming soon – Pitch Perfect 3 - 3
$114,434,010 – 50 Shades Darker - 2
pushed – Friday the 13th - 2
pushed – World War Z 2 - 2
no release date – Amityville: The Awakening - 1
coming soon – A Bad Moms Christmas - 1
$58,060,186 – Baywatch - 1
$174,967,202* – The Boss Baby - 1
$73,696,073* – Captain Underpants - 1
$81,389,699* – The Emoji Movie - 1
$92,029,184 – John Wick 2 - 1
$30,234,022 – Life - 1
$26,830,068 – Resident Evil: The Final Chapter - 1
$27,793,018 – Rings - 1
$138,141,585 – Split - 1

*still earning
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game - Deadline 1/26/17

#23 Post by knarf » 19 Nov 2017, 07:24

Step 1 Update

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($389M) vs. Justice League ($94M estimated)

Beauty and the Beast ($504M) should easily hold off Despicable Me 3 ($264M)

War for the Planet of the Apes ($146M) probably won't catch Kong: Skull Island ($168M)

It ($326M) beat The Dark Tower ($50M)

Wonder Woman ($412M) still leads Thor: Ragnarok ($231M)

Coco (not out yet) vs. Cars 3 ($152M)

Blade Runner 2049 ($88M) beat Alien: Covenant ($74M)

Power Rangers ($85M) beat The Mummy ($80M)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales ($172M) beat Transformers: The Last Knight ($130M)

The Fate of the Furious ($225M) lost to Logan and Kingsman: The Golden Circle ($226M + $99M = $325M)

Spider-Man: Homecoming ($334M) should hold off the combined total of The Lego Batman Movie and The Lego Ninjago Movie ($175M + $59M = $234M)
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#24 Post by knarf » 19 Nov 2017, 07:25

Also, Amityville: The Awakening earned a whopping $742 for figjam from it's one day release.
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Re: 2017 Box Office Prediction Game

#25 Post by figjam » 04 Dec 2017, 09:17

knarf wrote:Also, Amityville: The Awakening earned a whopping $742 for figjam from it's one day release.
:banana:

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