2018 Box Office Prediction Game (final results on page 3)

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knarf
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#26 Post by knarf » 07 Aug 2018, 09:46

knarf wrote:
knarf wrote:
figjam wrote:Domestic Total as of Jul. 4, 2018: $673,692,867


Slowing down. At this pace I can afford a few more weeks, but that's about it. I need it to really slow down to nothing soon.
About a month until the DVD comes out - we'll have to see how many screens it stays on until then.
Domestic Total as of Jul. 12, 2018: $675,403,437

Averaging just over $130k per day this week, so you should be good on this one.
$678,070,679 - getting close...
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#27 Post by figjam » 20 Aug 2018, 08:33

Domestic Total as of Aug. 19, 2018: $678,587,869 (Estimate)


Really slowed down. I think I might be good.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#28 Post by knarf » 20 Aug 2018, 09:43

figjam wrote:Domestic Total as of Aug. 19, 2018: $678,587,869 (Estimate)


Really slowed down. I think I might be good.
:green: I think to too. And not close enough to $700M to keep it around in theaters like Black Panther did either.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#29 Post by knarf » 25 Sep 2018, 12:46

knarf wrote:
figjam wrote:Domestic Total as of Aug. 19, 2018: $678,587,869 (Estimate)


Really slowed down. I think I might be good.
:green: I think to too. And not close enough to $700M to keep it around in theaters like Black Panther did either.
Looks like the final total is $678,815,482 - congrats figjam! Won it by about $1.5M.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#30 Post by figjam » 26 Sep 2018, 05:29

knarf wrote:
knarf wrote:
figjam wrote:Domestic Total as of Aug. 19, 2018: $678,587,869 (Estimate)


Really slowed down. I think I might be good.
:green: I think to too. And not close enough to $700M to keep it around in theaters like Black Panther did either.
Looks like the final total is $678,815,482 - congrats figjam! Won it by about $1.5M.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#31 Post by Ridilon » 26 Sep 2018, 06:12

Is that the closest to actual ever?
Jesus H. bald-headed Christ.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#32 Post by knarf » 26 Sep 2018, 06:39

Ridilon wrote:Is that the closest to actual ever?
Somebody was stupid close a couple years ago. Less than a million off I think.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#33 Post by knarf » 26 Sep 2018, 06:41

2015 - Dawson won everything that year and was only off by $42,377 for this one.
knarf wrote:Marksman: Domestic Box Office Gross of Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation

Final total: $195,042,377

Dawson wins this one.

Final results:

NAME         GUESS       DIFFERENCE
Dawson	 $195,000,000	     $42,377
knarf	 $201,343,102	  $6,300,725
spymeg	 $210,000,000	 $14,957,623
Mazer	 $179,000,000	 $16,042,377
redamin	 $215,235,682	 $20,193,305
Midrats	 $150,000,000	 $45,042,377
Middle	 $290,000,000	 $94,957,623
Scruluce  $30,000,000	$165,042,377
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#34 Post by knarf » 21 Oct 2018, 05:49

Scout (Step 2) Update
knarf       $458,273,356 - no more income
justdrewit  $447,340,346 - the rest of The Predator
figjam      $418,293,806 - the rest of The Predator and Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
redamin     $410,145,806 - the rest of The Predator and Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again, plus Holmes & Watson
Scruluce    $305,369,610 - the rest of Christopher Robin, plus Holmes & Watson
Ridilon     $208,616,634 - the rest of The Predator, plus Mortal Engines
nomega69  	      $0 - didn't enter this one


I think redamin has the best shot at this one, but I may still have a chance.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#35 Post by knarf » 21 Oct 2018, 05:56

Alita: Battle Angel has been moved past our end date, which hurts Ridilon.

In its place, Fox is releasing a PG-13 version of Deadpool 2, which helps everyone except Scruluce.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#36 Post by knarf » 21 Oct 2018, 07:42

Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216M so far) beats X-Men: Dark Phoenix (delayed until next year).
Mission: Impossible - Fallout ($220M so far) beats Mowgli (delayed until next year).
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($167M so far) beats A Wrinkle in Time ($100M and done).
Incredibles 2 ($607M so far) is leading Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ($416M so far) by $190M, and they're both nearly done.

Black Panther ($700M and done) should hold off Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (not released yet).
Bumblebee (not released yet) will probably beat Pacific Rim Uprising ($59M and done).
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 (not released yet) will probably beat Ready Player One ($137M and done).
As long as Mary Poppins Returns is released, it will beat Mulan (delayed until next year).
Solo: A Star Wars Story ($213M and done) may not hold off the combined total of Venom ($158M so far) and Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse (not released yet), but it doesn't matter as we all picked Solo.

Deadpool 2 is at $318M so far, Aquaman hasn't been released yet.
The Grinch vs. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (neither released yet).
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#37 Post by knarf » 22 Nov 2018, 15:09

Scout (Step 2) Update
knarf       $458,273,356 - no more income
justdrewit  $447,567,362 - the rest of The Predator
figjam      $418,520,822 - the rest of The Predator
redamin     $410,372,822 - the rest of The Predator, plus Holmes & Watson
Scruluce    $305,881,721 - the rest of Christopher Robin, plus Holmes & Watson
Ridilon     $208,843,650 - the rest of The Predator, plus Mortal Engines
nomega69  	      $0 - didn't enter this one


I still think redamin has the best shot at this one.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#38 Post by knarf » 22 Nov 2018, 15:22

Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216M and done) beats X-Men: Dark Phoenix (delayed until next year).
Mission: Impossible - Fallout ($220M and done) beats Mowgli (delayed until next year).
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($167M so far) beats A Wrinkle in Time ($100M and done).
Incredibles 2 ($608M so far) beats Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ($416M and done).

Black Panther ($700M and done) should hold off Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald ($81M so far).
Bumblebee (not released yet) will probably beat Pacific Rim Uprising ($59M and done).
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 ($18M so far) will probably beat Ready Player One ($137M and done).
As long as Mary Poppins Returns is released, it will beat Mulan (delayed until next year).
Solo: A Star Wars Story ($213M and done) has almost lost to Venom ($210M so far) on its own, even without adding in Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse (not released yet), but it doesn't matter as we all picked Solo.
The Grinch ($145M so far) will probably beat The Nutcracker and the Four Realms ($45M so far).

Deadpool 2 is at $318M so far, Aquaman hasn't been released yet.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#39 Post by knarf » 03 Dec 2018, 14:43

It doesn't matter since we'd already written it off as delayed, but Netflix bought Mowgli, so no theatrical release for it.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#40 Post by Ridilon » 04 Dec 2018, 09:51

Isn't Justdrewit our winner? It looks like we'll end up tied if Ralph beats out Ready and Bee surpasses Pacific. Justdrewit has a better pick 5 as well as a closer Avengers number. I don't think anyone else could tie us in overall picks.
Jesus H. bald-headed Christ.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#41 Post by justdrewit » 04 Dec 2018, 20:26

Ridilon wrote:Isn't Justdrewit our winner? It looks like we'll end up tied if Ralph beats out Ready and Bee surpasses Pacific. Justdrewit has a better pick 5 as well as a closer Avengers number. I don't think anyone else could tie us in overall picks.
If this is true...yay.
Man, what is happenin'? Long time, no see.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#42 Post by knarf » 05 Dec 2018, 07:36

justdrewit wrote:
Ridilon wrote:Isn't Justdrewit our winner? It looks like we'll end up tied if Ralph beats out Ready and Bee surpasses Pacific. Justdrewit has a better pick 5 as well as a closer Avengers number. I don't think anyone else could tie us in overall picks.
If this is true...yay.
Could be, I meant to check my spreadsheet last night, but forgot - I'll try to remember tonight.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#43 Post by knarf » 05 Dec 2018, 17:22

knarf wrote:
justdrewit wrote:
Ridilon wrote:Isn't Justdrewit our winner? It looks like we'll end up tied if Ralph beats out Ready and Bee surpasses Pacific. Justdrewit has a better pick 5 as well as a closer Avengers number. I don't think anyone else could tie us in overall picks.
If this is true...yay.
Could be, I meant to check my spreadsheet last night, but forgot - I'll try to remember tonight.
It's not definite yet, but it does look like you two will tie for picks, but justdrewit has tie-breaker for the Pick'em Champ.

I still think redamin has the best chance to win Scout for his five individual picks, and I'm sitting on a $200M+ lead for Overall Winner with my 16 picks.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#44 Post by justdrewit » 05 Dec 2018, 19:41

knarf wrote:
knarf wrote:
justdrewit wrote:
Ridilon wrote:Isn't Justdrewit our winner? It looks like we'll end up tied if Ralph beats out Ready and Bee surpasses Pacific. Justdrewit has a better pick 5 as well as a closer Avengers number. I don't think anyone else could tie us in overall picks.
If this is true...yay.
Could be, I meant to check my spreadsheet last night, but forgot - I'll try to remember tonight.
It's not definite yet, but it does look like you two will tie for picks, but justdrewit has tie-breaker for the Pick'em Champ.

I still think redamin has the best chance to win Scout for his five individual picks, and I'm sitting on a $200M+ lead for Overall Winner with my 16 picks.
Boo
Man, what is happenin'? Long time, no see.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#45 Post by redamin » 06 Dec 2018, 06:13

justdrewit wrote:
knarf wrote:
knarf wrote:
justdrewit wrote:
Ridilon wrote:Isn't Justdrewit our winner? It looks like we'll end up tied if Ralph beats out Ready and Bee surpasses Pacific. Justdrewit has a better pick 5 as well as a closer Avengers number. I don't think anyone else could tie us in overall picks.
If this is true...yay.
Could be, I meant to check my spreadsheet last night, but forgot - I'll try to remember tonight.
It's not definite yet, but it does look like you two will tie for picks, but justdrewit has tie-breaker for the Pick'em Champ.

I still think redamin has the best chance to win Scout for his five individual picks, and I'm sitting on a $200M+ lead for Overall Winner with my 16 picks.
Boo
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#46 Post by Ridilon » 11 Dec 2018, 06:08

Looking forward to 2019 and what is chosen as the domestic box office guess movie.
Jesus H. bald-headed Christ.

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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#47 Post by knarf » 17 Dec 2018, 20:06

Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216M and done) beats X-Men: Dark Phoenix (delayed until next year).
Mission: Impossible - Fallout ($220M and done) beats Mowgli (moved to Netflix).
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($167M and done) beats A Wrinkle in Time ($100M and done).
Incredibles 2 ($608M so far) beats Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ($416M and done).
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 ($154M so far) beats Ready Player One ($137M and done).
The combined total ($248M so far) of Venom ($212M so far) and Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse ($35M so far) beats Solo: A Star Wars Story ($213M and done).

Black Panther ($700M and done) should hold off Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald ($151M so far).
Bumblebee (not released yet) will probably beat Pacific Rim Uprising ($59M and done).
As long as Mary Poppins Returns is released, it will beat Mulan (delayed until next year).
The Grinch ($239M so far) should beat The Nutcracker and the Four Realms ($53M so far).

Deadpool 2 is at $318M so far, Aquaman hasn't been released yet.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#48 Post by knarf » 27 Dec 2018, 20:35

Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216M and done) beats X-Men: Dark Phoenix (delayed until next year).
Mission: Impossible - Fallout ($220M and done) beats Mowgli (moved to Netflix).
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($167M and done) beats A Wrinkle in Time ($100M and done).
Incredibles 2 ($608M so far) beats Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ($416M and done).
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 ($167M so far) beats Ready Player One ($137M and done).
The combined total ($292M so far) of Venom ($213M so far) and Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse ($79M so far) beats Solo: A Star Wars Story ($213M and done).
Mary Poppins Returns ($60M so far) beats Mulan (delayed until next year).
Black Panther ($700M and done) will beat Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald ($155M so far).
The Grinch ($259M so far) will beat The Nutcracker and the Four Realms ($54M so far).

Bumblebee ($40M so far) will probably beat Pacific Rim Uprising ($59M and done).
Deadpool 2 ($324M and about done) vs. Aquaman ($124M so far) is still in play.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#49 Post by knarf » 02 Jan 2019, 19:39

Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216M and done) beats X-Men: Dark Phoenix (delayed until next year).
Mission: Impossible - Fallout ($220M and done) beats Mowgli (moved to Netflix).
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($167M and done) beats A Wrinkle in Time ($100M and done).
Incredibles 2 ($608M and done) beats Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom ($416M and done).
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 ($179M so far) beats Ready Player One ($137M and done).
The combined total ($327M so far) of Venom ($213M so far) and Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse ($114M so far) beats Solo: A Star Wars Story ($213M and done).
Mary Poppins Returns ($114M so far) beats Mulan (delayed until next year).
Bumblebee ($78 so far) beats Pacific Rim Uprising ($59M and done).
Black Panther ($700M and done) will beat Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald ($157M so far).
The Grinch ($267M so far) will beat The Nutcracker and the Four Realms ($54M so far).

Deadpool 2 ($324M and about done) vs. Aquaman ($215M so far) is still in play.
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Re: 2018 Box Office Prediction Game

#50 Post by knarf » 08 Jan 2019, 19:13

Scout (Step 2) Update
knarf       $458,273,356 - no more income
justdrewit  $447,577,895 - no more income
redamin     $438,989,183 - plus the rest of Holmes & Watson
figjam      $418,531,355 - no more income
Scruluce    $334,513,037 - plus the rest of Holmes & Watson
Ridilon     $224,647,718 - plus the rest of Mortal Engines
nomega69  	      $0 - didn't enter this one

Think I'm good here now, since Holmes & Watson is doing poorly.
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