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FilmWisers vs. the Academy - The Complete Results
So much for trying to figure out The Oscars.

The Academy has spoken, and much of what they said surprised our FilmWise voters, as FilmWisers accurately predicted only 10 out of the 19 categories. The biggest surprises came from The Pianist, which blind-sided our voters by taking upset victories in the Best Director (Roman Polanski) and Best Actor in a Leading Role (kissing bandit Adrien Brody) categories. Our users were pleasantly surprised by Eminem's Oscar for best song, as most of our voters thought the song should win, but very few thought the Academy would agree.

For the results below, we've listed the movies in order of FilmWisers' votes and added Oscar to denote the winners.

Best Picture
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
606 184 Chicago
  70 68 The Hours
  54 106 Gangs of New York
  31 95 The Pianist
  20 231 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
Top Write-in Candidates:
  22 Adaptation
  7 About Schmidt
  7 Far from Heaven
  6 Punch Drunk Love
  5 Road to Perdition
 
Best Director
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  401 280 Martin Scorcese - Gangs of New York
  269 178 Rob Marshall - Chicago
50 140 Roman Polanski - The Pianist
  39 38 Stephen Daldry - The Hours
  6 40 Pedro Almodóvar - Hable Con Ella
Top Write-in Candidates:
  55 Peter Jackson - LOTR: The Two Towers
  6 Spike Jonze - Adaptation
  4 Todd Haynes - Far from Heaven
 
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  334 296 Daniel Day-Lewis - Gangs of New York
  294 155 Jack Nicholson - About Schmidt
74 121 Adrien Brody - The Pianist
  32 101 Nicolas Cage - Adaptation
  31 55 Michael Caine - The Quiet American
Top Write-in Candidates:
  6 Richard Gere - Chicago
  4 Tom Hanks - Road to Perdition
  4 Robin Williams - One Hour Photo
  3 Elijah Wood - LOTR: The Two Towers
 
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
424 235 Nicole Kidman - The Hours
  249 110 Renée Zellweger - Chicago
  51 192 Julianne Moore - Far from Heaven
  18 112 Salma Hayek - Frida
  15 81 Diane Lane - Unfaithful
Top Write-in Candidates:
  2 Jennifer Aniston - The Good Girl
  2 Maggie Gyllenhaal - Secretary
  2 Meryl Streep - The Hours
 
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
293 209 Chris Cooper - Adaptation
  162 111 Paul Newman - Road to Perdition
  125 200 Christopher Walken - Catch Me If You Can
  98 89 Ed Harris - The Hours
  65 98 John C. Reilly - Chicago
Top Write-in Candidates:
  11 Dennis Quaid - Far from Heaven
  4 Andy Serkis ("Gollum") - LOTR: The Two Towers
  3 Jude Law - Road to Perdition
 
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
364 192 Catherine Zeta-Jones - Chicago
  158 144 Meryl Streep - Adaptation
  138 167 Julianne Moore - The Hours
  65 140 Kathy Bates - About Schmidt
  28 84 Queen Latifah - Chicago
Top Write-in Candidates:
  3 Samantha Morton - Minority Report
 
Best Foreign Language Film
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  256 212 El Crimen del Padre Amaro (Mexico)
  110 129 Ying Xiong (China)
96 100 Nirgendwo in Afrika (Germany)
  62 59 Mies Vailla Menneisyytta (Finland)
  40 43 Zus & Zo (Netherlands)
 
Best Animated Feature
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  355 323 Ice Age
  154 162 Lilo & Stitch
124 154 Sen to Chihiro No Kamikakushi ("Spirited Away")
  55 48 Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron
  31 23 Treasure Planet
 
Best Cinematography
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  338 148 Chicago
  200 229 Gangs of New York
118 205 Road to Perdition
  38 66 The Pianist
  30 70 Far from Heaven
Best Original Screenplay
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  259 132 Gangs of New York - Jay Cocks, Steven Zaillian, Kenneth Lonergan
  219 226 My Big Fat Greek Wedding - Nia Vardalos
  172 168 Far from Heaven - Todd Haynes
68 79 Hable Con Ella - Pedro Almodóvar
  29 132 Y Tu Mamá También - Carlos Cuarón, Alfonso Cuarón
 
Best Adapted Screenplay
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  282 120 Chicago - Bill Condon
  241 87 The Hours - David Hare
  181 343 Adaptation - Charlie Kaufman, Donald Kaufman
32 63 The Pianist - Ronald Harwood
  14 135 About a Boy - Peter Hedges, Chris Weitz, Paul Weitz
 
Best Editing
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
364 158 Chicago
  195 422 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
  111 79 Gangs of New York
  51 59 The Hours
  14 17 The Pianist
 
Best Costume Design
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
526 328 Chicago
  167 283 Gangs of New York
  20 85 Frida
  15 16 The Hours
  9 18 The Pianist
 
Best Art Direction / Set Decoration
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
356 133 Chicago
  174 356 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
  166 153 Gangs of New York
  15 37 Frida
  15 44 Road to Perdition
 
Best Sound
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
362 173 Chicago
  255 430 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
  58 43 Gangs of New York
  24 43 Spider-Man
  14 27 Road to Perdition
 
Best Sound Editing
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
614 563 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
  90 128 Minority Report
  22 31 Road to Perdition
 
Best Visual Effects
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
604 579 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers
  73 75 Spider-Man
  64 77 Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones
 
Best Music, Original Score
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  244 260 Catch Me If You Can - John Williams
  203 133 The Hours - Philip Glass
  87 139 Road to Perdition - Thomas Newman
  81 85 Far from Heaven - Elmer Bernstein
68 63 Frida - Elliot Goldenthal
 
Best Music, Song
Did
Win
Will
Win
Should
Win
 
  354 157 "The Hands that Built America" - Gangs of New York - Bono, The Edge, Adam Clayton, Larry Mullen
  158 81 "I Move On" - Chicago - John Kander (music), Fred Ebb (lyrics)
152 401 "Lose Yourself" - 8 Mile - Eminem (music/lyrics), Jeff Bass (music), Luis Resto (music)
  56 61 "Father and Daughter" - The Wild Thornberrys Movie - Paul Simon
  9 22 "Burn it Blue" - Frida - Elliot Goldenthal (music), Julie Taymor (lyrics)